In the January, 2012, issue of The Atlantic Monthly, there is a lengthy article on the future of American manufacturing entitled “Making it in America”.  In profiling an individual company called Standard Motor Products and a few employees performing manufacturing operations, particularly a 22-year-old single parent named Maddie Parlier, reporter Adam Davidson concludes that the company will continue to perform manufacturing operations in the United States, but it will do so only if it can continually compare the cost of employees versus automated technology, and extract the best economic value from the process.

Employees who do not have high levels of education and technical skill will be continually insecure and will be displaced if they are not continually keeping ahead of the marketplace.  The most painful point the reporter makes is that anyone who starts his or her work career with major family or other responsibilities will have difficulty keeping current with the skills needed.  Maddie Parlier is 22 years old, has completed high school, but has not gone beyond it, is a single mother, and has no spare time or money to take courses and upgrade her skills.  She will be vulnerable to a future replacement by technology.

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On December 31, 2011, I watched a Connecticut Public TV special called From Hitler to Hollywood. It caught my attention because it profiled the process by which the German and Central European film industry was built between the end of World War I and 1933, dismantled by Hitler because a significant part of the film industry participants were Jewish, and then recreated in Hollywood between 1933 and 1945.

There were several noteworthy insights from the program:

• The German and Central European film-makers were incredibly innovative, and they sparked the development of many features of American cinema that changed the films Americans saw, especially after World War II, when the industry was free to resume its normal kind of film-making.  Most noteworthy was the development of the “film noir” style of movie.  “Film noir” was a genre of film that usually was done in black-and-white, as opposed to color, presentation.  It was set in harsh urban settings, was a type of drama and action film, and often involved criminals or gangsters.  Films like The Asphalt Jungle, Dark Passage (which starred Humphrey Bogart and Lauren Bacall), and even On the Waterfront could be considered “film noir” movies.
• The filmmakers who emigrated from Germany and Central Europe created funds to help others trapped back in Europe come to the United States.  They not only sent money back to people trying to escape from Nazi-occupied countries, but helped them with contacts and created the equivalent of an “underground railroad” to enable people to get help crossing borders, hiding inside Nazi-occupied countries, and eventually finding their way to friendly countries.  Germany and the countries it occupied saw a huge drain on their artistic talent, but it would not have been as big of a drain as it turned out to be, had not American-based exiles provided a considerable amount of financial support.

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I love the New York Post headlines.  One of my favorites was in the Sunday, December 11, 2011, issue.  The headline was “E-Z CASH: Change he can believe in: Toll collector makes $100K.” On page 5, the story to which headline refers is entitled “High-Pay PA Crew Taking Their Toll.”  It describes what we have learned is an all-too-common rip-off of taxpayers, the use of what is called “pension spiking” to give people making a certain level of income the chance to get an even larger pension by awarding them a huge amount of overtime pay opportunity in their last year of employment, the only year that counts for pension calculations in many public-sector collective bargaining agreements.

In this case, the employer is the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, an entity created by a contract between New York and New Jersey and jointly owned by the two states.  This entity is not accountable to elected officers or voters, except for the indirect influence that elected officials from the two states sitting on its board of directors have on the entity’s operations.  Oddly enough, entities like the Port Authority were created over several decades in the 20^th century because elected officials believed that they would operate in a more business-like fashion and not be subject to the corrupting influences of elected officials trying to “buy” votes by bestowing favors on constituents. However, the lack of public accountability means that the customers of the Port Authority, namely those who travel in the New York Metropolitan area, will bear the brunt of the abuses of the pension system.

In one sense, it should be easy to solve this problem: abolish this “pension spiking” scheme in the next collective bargaining session.  However, we get a hint of why these kinds of schemes are so hard to uproot. A toll collector named Princesella Smith is quoted as saying: “I’m blessed. I have a great job, and, in this economy, it’s great that I can cover everything with my eight hours a day and overs.”

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There are so many subjects about which to write a blog every week, but, this week, the retirement of Steve Jobs has spawned two separate blogs.  The first was a celebration of his many successes. This will be about his many failures.  The Wall Street Journal quoted an article written by Nick Schulz in The National Review on August 25, 2011.

Unlike Walt Mossberg, whom I quoted the other day, or the many other commentators who celebrated Jobs’ successes, Schulz focused on the fact that Jobs had many major failures along the way, including the Apple I computer, the Lisa computer and the NeXt computer.  He was asked to leave Apple in 1985 and did not return until 1997.  Steven Jobs failed repeatedly and publicly, and he paid in the short run.  However, today, the Apple employees and shareholders are more secure and richer than they ever could have imagined.  He invested repeatedly for the longer term.

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Steven Jobs resignation from the CEO position at Apple has given all of us a moment to reflect on how profoundly, as reporter Walt Mossberg observed in the Thursday, August 25, 2011, issue of The Wall Street Journal, in a piece entitled “Job’s Legacy: Changing How We Live.” We Jobs was transformational in his work with Pixar animation and made Apple Computer one of the most valuable companies in the world, I will focus on what he accomplished at Apple Computer as a creator of great products and services.

Today, I have an I-Mac desktop computer, as does my wife, a MacBook Air laptop, as do my sons and my daughter, an I-Phone, as does my wife, and an I-Pod, as do every member of my family.  My wife even has an I-Pad, so she can read her emails more easily.

I prepared this blog, along with most others, on my MacBook Air, which is my work computer, since I take it everywhere.  It holds my PowerPoint presentations as well, and my Kindle software that enables me to read books anywhere I take my computer.

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I have been struck by the huge perception gaps between those in positions of decision-making authority and the broader population affected by their decisions.

These gaps matter because leaders cannot make good decisions when they do not understand that categories within which they think about the world are out-of-date or even just plain wrong.  Aside from the increasing complexity and interconnectedness in the world, there are three reasons for this:

• Senior leaders continue to be isolated from the day-to-day environment around them, even though isolation is having progressively riskier consequences;
• Everyone is operating in more fragmented media environments in which it is harder to get a holistic view of what is happening; and
• Even if we understand a particular issue, geography, country, market, or culture, it changes so fast that our knowledge become obsolete more quickly.

Senior leaders, particularly older white males, are isolated from what is happening in their organizations, as well as the societies of which they are apart.  In particular, they broadly underestimate diversity and complexity in our society, as well as other societies.

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Why don’t more Americans go into public service?  This is a most important question, because the public sector is being crippled by mediocre, sometimes poor, and, infrequently, but too often, corrupt leadership.  When I was young, my parents strongly encouraged me to consider either a career in public service or taking on periodic assignments in public service. I do not want to romanticize government officials in the past, because many of the pathologies we see today have been around for centuries and even millennia.

Nevertheless, I grew up reading about historical figures like the Roman leader Cincinnatus who left his farm to serve in a leadership position, fulfilled his public responsibilities, and then returned as quickly as possible to his farm and his family.  George Washington was admired because he completed his two presidential terms, and then went back to his Virginia home.  Both of these leaders represented a set of values which placed public service above personal ambition.

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Upton Sinclair, the author of The Jungle, and a renowned journalist from the early 20^th century, once said that “it is difficult to get someone to understand something when the continuation of his livelihood depends on him not understanding it.” This is a profound, but simple, truth.

Whole industries and marketplaces, and often political and social paradigms, depend on people willfully denying reality.  In health care, the stubborn myth is that more care is always better care.  This myth enables health care providers to make more money, not have to make tough end-of-life decisions, and appear to be giving the patient what he or she wants.

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In the March 5-11 issue of The Economist, there was an article entitled “The Perils of Property.” The author made the point that buying a home is the biggest single financial bet most Americans will ever make.  As all too many Americans learned in the recent financial meltdown, buying a home can be a very risky bet.

Our government not only subsidizes home ownership through the home mortgage interest deduction, but it has created a variety of tools to enable lenders to make home mortgage loans to more people.  Lawmakers have always believed that broad-based home ownership is an inherent societal benefit, because they believe it creates a greater stake in the well being of the community.  Independent of whether owning a home is a good investment, American lawmakers want as many Americans as possible to own, rather than rent, their residences.

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Every once in a while, an article about the economy cuts through conventional thinking and gets right to the heart of a critical issue.  One such article is Andy Kessler’s Op-ed piece in the Thursday, February 17, 2011, Wall Street Journal, entitled “Is Your Job an Endangered Species?”

What makes this article insightful is that it takes apart batches of job tasks and looks at the skills required for each one, and their replaceability by technology or self-service solutions.  Beyond the obvious example of toll takers, which, thankfully for all drivers, are rapidly disappearing, he points out that jobs which exist because of the need to move physical items or information, jobs which exist solely because supply is artificially limited or restricted, or which exist because of artificial or gimmicky price and value differentiations, or because of government-conferred monopolies will disappear over time.

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