Because September is the one-year anniversary of the worldwide financial meltdown, there were many good articles in the various newspapers and magazines over the last few weeks.

One particularly insightful article appeared in the September 14, 2009, issue of  The New Yorker, entitled “Eight Days” by James Stewart. It highlighted three root causes that ended up building destructively on one another:

• Excessively high debt leverage among many players in the financial services system;
• Rapid asset sales driven either by panic or sophisticated profit-driven short selling; and
• Provisions in credit agreements that triggered defaults based on accounting-driven asset valuations.

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In the September 7, 2009, issue of the New York Times, reporter Michael Lud wrote an article entitled “Out of Work and Too Down to Search On,” which essentially made the point that the economic environment is so bad that many people stop looking for work.

Unemployment is psychologically devastating.  I know: I was unemployed for several months in early 1979, when I left my law firm and was trying to secure another legal position.  I was asked to look for another job because I was told I would not be made a partner.  My stay on the unemployment rolls was brief, but terrifying.  As a result, I empathize with anyone who has lost his or her job.

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Many people sought my reaction to President Obama’s health care speech.  I had a mixed reaction.  It was reassuring to see him take a decisive position in staking out the case for reform, his priorities, and the common-sense proposals on which there appears already to be agreement.  I also think that he was more eloquent than I have ever seen him on any issue, and I felt inspired by his leadership skills, and his obviously sincere and deep moral values that drive his passion on health care.

While I believe that we should attack the health crisis first, then the health care delivery crisis, and then attack health insurance, rather than his obvious prioritization of health insurance, his decisiveness and strong leadership has value independent of how he prioritized the issues.

There are two fundamental problems with his plan:

• The proposed public option is a flawed solution to the problems he outlines; and
• The proposed methods for paying for expanding care to tens of millions of additional Americans are highly unlikely to yield the revenues he has projected for them.

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Periodically, my lifelong decision to be an independent voter, rather than a registered Democrat or Republican gets reinforced. My independence stems from a deep distrust of a concentration of power or financial reward anywhere in our governmental, business, or non-profit sectors.

Recently, I have seen evidence of what happens when there is the following lethal combination of circumstances we have today:

• highly-concentrated government or business power,
• inattentiveness of the majority of the population,
• exceptionally high rewards from the exercise of concentrated power, and
• more power concentrated in ideologically-driven people.

The vast majority of Americans are unhappy and insecure with respect to the political and business environment in which they find themselves. 

Fiscal Irresponsibility at all Levels of Government

Without most of us noticing it, state and local governments, which are required to balance their budgets every year, have engaged in a massive transfer of wealth from the vast majority of their citizens to a relatively small, but exceptionally militant and well-organized group of state and local government employees.  I am not angry at the demands made by these employees in their collective bargaining negotiations, but am disappointed that elected officials have not only supported and caved in to those demands, but have also hidden the true costs of these actions from voters.

In Connecticut, for example, the present value of retirement benefits for state employees, including elected members of the executive and legislative branches of state government, is $40 billion as of the end of the 2007 fiscal year, and it is probably higher today.  For roughly 80,000 full-time employees, that averages $500,000 per employee at the time of retirement.  Although this money is paid over time, it is part of the long-term indebtedness of the state that crowds out the ability of the state to invest in roads, bridges, public transit, education, public health, environmental sustainability, public safety, and rebuilding of our cities, among the much worthier uses to which the money could have been put.

Connecticut is not unique in this regard.  Virtually every state has some astronomical retirement benefit obligation, as amply demonstrated by a report of the U.S. Government Accounting Office, http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d08317.pdf

How did this happen?  Our elected officials are generally well-intentioned individuals with a desire to serve the broad public interest.  However, when confronted with well-organized public employees’ unions who want increases in pay and benefits, it has been far easier to concede on long-term benefits than on short-term pay increases, since the long-term benefits are not required to be reflected in annual state government  income statements.  I do not blame the unions for demanding these benefits, or even the elected officials for agreeing to them, but I believe that the public has been relatively disengaged for too long in monitoring issues like this.

On Monday, July 20, both Houses of the Connecticut General Assembly voted on straight party lines to override Governor Rell’s veto of a well-intended, but flawed, health care bill called the SustiNet bill.  Although the bill had many great features and was supported by many great leaders, one of its fatal flaws was the creation of a health policy board specifically designed to exclude many critical stakeholders, including large employers, insurance companies, hospital leaders, and pharmaceutical companies, all of whom should have been part of the board. 

In effect, the General Assembly, through amendments to the original legislation, set out to create a highly unrepresentative policy board on one of the state’s most critical competitiveness issues.  Until after this bill passed both houses of the General Assembly the first time, few business leaders were even aware of its existence, much less its damaging terms and conditions.  I wrote an Op-Ed piece in the July 19, 2009, Hartford Courant expressing my opposition to this legislation as enacted, specifically, in part because of whom it excluded from the health policy board, and called some of our elected representatives.  While I obviously did not succeed, I did my best to make sure that elected legislators knew how I felt.

Too many business leaders believe that they can escape fiscal crises and problems in their headquarters states by leaving those states, but we are increasingly coming to realize that there is no place to which to escape.  The federal government will end up bailing out state and local governments, as it has done with significant chunks of the stimulus legislation, and all of us will pick up the tab.

The answer is not to replace the incumbents, whether they be Democrats or Republicans with other incumbents, nor is it to have term limits (which I support for other reasons.)  The answer is a more continuously engaged and active citizenry, particularly in the business community.  Too many major CEOs and other senior executives think of themselves as world citizens who have little connection to the communities in which their companies have major operations.  Too often they delegate management of government affairs to specialized legal and government affairs professionals.

If we are to constrain the absolute power of government officials and the special interests to which they cater, we need the check and balance of continuous engagement by a much larger part of our citizenry.  As travel writer Rick Steves stated in his book Travel as a Political Act,

“Whether you’re a mom, a schoolteacher, a celebrity, a realtor, or a travel writer, it’s wrong to stop paying attention and let others (generally with a vested interest in the situation) make political decisions for us.  Our founding fathers didn’t envision career politicians and professional talking heads doing our political thinking for us.”

Although I do not plan to go as far as folk singer Arlo Guthrie and become a member of either party, I agree with his comment in the interview entitled “Just Folk” in the Sunday, July 26, 2009, New York Times:

“I became a registered Republican about five or six years ago because, to have a successful democracy, you have to have at least two parties, and one of them was failing miserably…We needed a loyal opposition.”

To put it simply, if we are to avoid the corrupting effects of concentrated power, we must take back that power from those who have it.  I do not believe those with power today are bad people.  In fact, I have much in common with their goals, and believe them to be decent people who want to do the right thing.  However, without checks and balances, everyone, including me, is highly likely to make significant and bad decisions.  We cannot let that happen.

I read an interesting and insightful  article online called “Hired! Turning a Demotion into a Promotion”  which is accessible at http://money.cnn.com/2009/07/10/news/economy/_demotion/index.htm?postversion=200907.

The main point of the article is that individuals need to rethink their strategies for securing new employment, and, in many instances, need to accept a lower-paid position in a different kind of organization with a different career path, compared with the firm that laid them off.  I can relate to this to some extent.  When I was not selected as a partner in the law firm for which I worked in 1978, I was essentially told that I needed to look for another job.  While I was not immediately laid off, my position was eliminated, and I eventually moved into a status in which I was no longer in full-time employment, but was paid only by the hour for the work I did.

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Pitney Bowes is sponsoring a program with the American Red Cross called Holiday Mail for Heroes to enable Americans to send cards to active and wounded members of the armed services, military families, and veterans during the holiday season.

This is the second year of the campaign, and it has shown me not only the power of these handwritten letters and cards for those receiving them, but for the senders and the people who have volunteered to get them to the recipients.  Today, we desperately need to come together and connect emotionally.  The fear that the economic crisis has caused in many people has had the effect of making them suffer alone, and of making them believe that they are powerless to help themselves or others. (more…)

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Some of my readers have asked me to comment on the financial crisis.  Much has been written about it, and beyond the political rhetoric, there are some very intelligent analyses of what happened and why.  To me, the three obvious root causes were:

• The disconnected and fragmented sub-prime mortgage creation and investment system, combined with the incentives of all players in the supply chain of these mortgages to grow rapidly and to take on excessive risk;
• The unintended consequences of an excessive dependence on “mark-to-market” accounting, which caused financial assets to be written down in value to an artificial “market price,” even if the holder had no intention of selling them, and even if the market for that asset really did not exist.  This artificially low asset valuation would not have mattered, except that lending agreements and other financial arrangements depended on maintaining a minimum level of asset values.  The deterioration of asset values due to these artificially low valuations created a death spiral for companies, because the agreements usually required them to shore up declining asset values with additional credit that simply was not available.
• The mind-boggling complexity of these financial instruments and transactions, which made it extremely difficult for anyone to understand when participants were truly in trouble, until it was too late.   This is also why the rating agencies, on which investors depend to evaluate the riskiness of these instruments and transactions, failed so miserably. (more…)

I do not usually react when a performing arts celebrity passes away, but Paul Newman’s passing was different.  Over time, I came to realize that, in certain ways, he was a role model for me.

He was a person who achieved phenomenal success, but never became arrogant.  When I met him on two different occasions at fund-raising events, the first of which was at his Westport, Connecticut, home, he seemed like a very low-key, normal person well-grounded in reality.  He clearly did not appear to take himself too seriously.

What I most admired about him was his passion to keep expanding his horizons.  Had he just been an actor, he would have had a career that, by itself, would have been among the most distinguished of all performers.  However, he became an award-winning director, producer, and writer, all of which required very different skills from acting. (more…)